2010 Oscar Rundown: Rough Cut Style
The Oscars are merely four days away and, as of a week and some change ago, it is unclear which film is going to stand tall as winner of the coveted Best Picture Award. In December, Avatar was the front-runner in this race; in January, The Hurt Locker became the fan (and Academy) favorite. Now . . . well, it’s just about anyone’s game. Let me rephrase that: Any of the big five films nominated (Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, and Up in the Air) have a shot.
By now, it is common knowledge that Hurt Locker producer Nicholas Chartier has been uninvited from the ceremony because of an e-mail he sent out to Academy voters roughly two weeks ago. For those of you who aren’t familiar with the growing scandal aptly named ‘Lockergate’ let me fill you in. Nicholas Chartier sent out a mass e-mail to Academy voters talking up his film (The Hurt Locker) and degrading another (Avatar). According to Academy rules and regulations, degrading another nominated film is not allowed. While The Hurt Locker’s Best Picture nomination was not rescinded, Chartier will no longer be attending the event. Should The Hurt Locker win the big prize, Chartier will receive his statuette at a later date.
Amidst all of this controversy, the film favored to win the award is . . . well, debatable. Many critics seem to think that this is the perfect opportunity for Up in the Air to sneak in and reclaim the top spot, which it held for the latter part of 2009 until Avatar hit the silver screen. My contemporary, Roger Ebert, has even gone so far as to say that if Avatar, The Hurt Locker, or Up In The Air doesn’t win he will be surprised. While he may have years of experience on me, I respectfully disagree. I fully understand that those three films have the best shot (or did), but let’s remember back to 2007 when the Coen Brother’s thriller No Country For Old Men took home the top prize. This came as a surprise to a great many people.
In addition to the top three I would like to add a fourth: Inglourious Basterds. In Inglourious Basterds, Quentin Tarantino has done something that no filmmaker, or none that received praise, has been able to do successfully: he has made a movie that rewrites history. This is an unprecedented occasion, and given Tarantino’s track record, this shouldn’t come as a surprise. In addition to a story that can’t disappoint, Basterds contains dialogue that is unmatched, a fantastic balance of (real) action, and is the only nominated film that has a truly classic style (or a damn good imitation) of cinematography.
Based on Academy voting history, and the recent turn of events surrounding the other films, I believe that Inglourious Basterds has a real shot and being this year’s dark horse winner. But, the Oscars aren’t all about the Best Picture winner; there are 23 other categories ripe for the taking.
Best Picture
There are ten films nominated this year. Only five have an actual shot, but it’s nice to see what films probably wouldn’t have gotten a nom.
Nominees:
Avatar
The Blind Side
District 9
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air
Predicted Winner:
The Hurt Locker
Leading Actor
All five men nominated gave superb performances, but this year it’s all about Jeff Bridges. A close second is George Clooney and the dark horse is Jeremy Renner.
Nominees:
Jeff Brides in Crazy Heart
George Clooney in Up in the Air
Colin Firth in A Single Man
Morgan Freeman in Invictus
Jeremy Renner in The Hurt Locker
Predicted Winner:
Jeff Bridges
Leading Actress
A great group of leading ladies, but it’s going to be a head-to-head bout between Sandra Bullock and Meryl Streep. Both are more than deserving of the award.
Nominees:
Sandra Bullock in The Blind Side
Helen Mirren in The Last Station
Carey Mulligan in An Education
Gabourey Sidibe in Precious
Meryl Streep in Julie and Julia
Predicted Winner:
Sandra Bullock
Supporting Actor
It’s going to Christoph Waltz. Period.
Nominees:
Matt Damon in Invictus
Woody Harrelson in The Messenger
Christopher Plummer in The Last Station
Stanley Tucci in The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz in Inglourious Basterds
Predicted Winner:
Christoph Waltz
Supporting Actress
I had some trouble coming to a decision on this category. Each performance is deserving of a win for its own reasons. In the end, I had to choose between Mo’Nique and Vera Farmiga.
Nominees:
Penélope Cruz in Nine
Vera Farmiga in Up in the Air
Maggie Gyllenhaal in Crazy Heart
Anna Kendrick in Up in the Air
Mo’Nique in Precious
Predicted Winner:
Mo’Nique
Directing
This was another tough decision for me. Years of concurrent DGA-Oscar wins give the award to Kathryn Bigelow but I wouldn’t count Quentin Tarantino out of this race.
Nominees:
James Cameron for Avatar
Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds
Lee Daniels for Precious
Jason Reitman for Up in the Air
Predicted Winner:
Kathryn Bigelow
Cinematography
The Hurt Locker had some impressive sequences, but like I said earlier, Inglourious Basterds has a classic look that can’t be touched.
Nominees:
Mauro Fiore for Avatar
Bruno Delbonnel for Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Barry Ackroyd for The Hurt Locker
Robert Richardson for Inglourious Basterds
Christian Berger for The White Ribbon
Predicted Winner:
Robert Richardson
Film Editing
Avatar, The Hurt Locker, and Inglourious Basterds all have an equal shot at taking the win.
Nominees:
Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua, & James Cameron for Avatar
Julian Clark for District 9
Bob Murawski & Chris Innis for The Hurt Locker
Sally Menke for Inglourious Basterds
Joe Klotz for Precious
Original Screenplay
Let me just restate that Tarantino successfully rewrote World War II.
Nominees:
Mark Boal for The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds
Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman for The Messenger
Joel & Ethan Coen for A Serious Man
Pete Doctor, Bob Peterson, & Thomas McCarthy for Up
Adapted Screenplay
I don’t have much to say on this category. Each nominee is much deserving. District 9 has a good shot, as does Precious.
Nominees:
Neill Blomkamp & Terri Tatchell for District 9
Nick Hornby for An Education
Jessee Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, & Toni Roche for In the Loop
Geoffrey Fletcher for Precious
Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner for Up in the Air
Animated Feature
Coraline was an early favorite and Fantastic Mr. Fox has a decent shot as well. My bet is on Up.
Nominees:
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
The Secret of Kells
Up
Predicted Winner:
Up